En 30 secondes
Elad Gil contrasts his interpretations of internet and mobile value capture and speculates about the split between incumbents and startups in AI. His percentages are illustrative, not measured outcomes.
- 1InternetGil sees differing shares of value across technology waves.
- 2MobileHe considers mobile more favorable to established platforms.
- 3AI scenarioHis proposed AI split is speculative.
À retenir
- Gil sees differing shares of value across technology waves.
- He considers mobile more favorable to established platforms.
- His proposed AI split is speculative.
Lire le texte remanié, chapitre par chapitre
Technology waves
A speculative comparison of incumbents and startups.
In this April 2024 excerpt, investor Elad Gil compares how established companies and startups may capture value during technology waves. His percentages are illustrative estimates and his AI split is a prediction, not a measured outcome.
Gil characterizes the early internet as more favorable to new companies, citing Google and Amazon while noting that Microsoft also benefited. He contrasts this with mobile, where established platforms Apple and Google captured substantial value alongside newer companies.
He describes the first decade of modern AI as an incumbent-led wave and speculates that the next phase could still favor incumbents while leaving a meaningful share for startups. His 80–20 split is a rough scenario rather than a forecast supported by a stated measurement method.
Sur la même chaîne
1:49:40EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 28 oct. 2026Podcast · 4 voixA Strategy for Preserving Options on the Path to Advanced AIInvité : Joel Predd, Ben Boudreaux, Matt Chessen · Anime : Nathan LabenzRAND researchers discuss uncertainty, security architecture and human agency with Nathan Labenz.
1:28:36ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 24 oct. 2026Podcast · 5 voixAI’s Pace: Interpretability, GPU Credit and the Physical Supply ChainInvité : Zvi Mowshowitz, Evan Conrad, Lonis Hamaili · Anime : Nathan Labenz, Prakash NarayananA weekly highlights episode weighs uncertain AI research trajectories against finance, infrastructure, security and regulation.
3:13:44ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 22 oct. 2026Podcast · 4 voixAI’s Physical Bottlenecks: Compute Markets, Chip Investments and Agent TrustInvité : Evan Conrad, Lonis Hamaili · Anime : Nathan Labenz, Prakash NarayananA full AI:AM discussion of security incidents, GPU financing, semiconductor supply and an agent-to-agent network.
2:40:58ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 21 oct. 2026Podcast · 3 voixFrontier AI, Interpretability and the Fight Over Its PaceInvité : Zvi Mowshowitz · Anime : Nathan Labenz, Prakash NarayananZvi Mowshowitz joins AI:AM to discuss neural networks, policy and the institutions facing rapid change.
1:25:56ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 17 oct. 2026PodcastClaude Changed the Password. The Steering Wheel Was Already OptionalAnime : Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz and Prakash Narayanan spend a week on agents that can lock you out, models that dodge a feeling they deny having, and formal proofs that found Linux bugs.
2:51:22ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 14 oct. 2026Podcast · 4 voixAI Minds and 8 mm Memories: Research, Archives and SimulationInvité : Cameron Berg, Phil Maher · Anime : Nathan Labenz, Prakash NarayananCameron Berg discusses hidden model states; Phil Maher explains preserving home movies and a fly-brain demo.