筛选结果
19 篇排序
1:26:46EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026年10月8日播客There Likely Is a Level of Intelligence We Shouldn't Go Past主持 Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz brings notes from The Curve, a chip startup whose token bill beat payroll, and a software industry that now performance-reviews people for Claude slop.
2:13:27ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026年9月29日播客He Wrote a Book to Stop the AI Race — Then Almost Got Addicted to Claude主持 Nathan LabenzJournalist Garrison Lovely takes the AGI labs at their word, rejects the bubble story, and argues for freezing the frontier until the public actually consents.
3:10:49EN → 简体中文Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026年4月11日播客冲刺时刻：Ajeya Cotra 为超级智能到来前的几个月准备的剧本主持 Nathan Labenz一场关于递归自我改进（recursive self-improvement）、公众预警系统，以及用每一代 AI 去对齐（alignment）和控制下一代的对话。
1:44:15ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026年4月1日播客Nathan Labenz's p(doom) Is 10 to 90 Percent. He Is More Optimistic Anyway主持 Nathan LabenzFive years ago, expecting AGI by 2035 made you an extremist. On The Intelligence Horizon, the Cognitive Revolution host explains why the same forecast now sounds bearish, and why he still thinks a defense-in-depth strategy might keep society on the rails.
3:27:22EN → 简体中文Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026年3月19日播客AI 牌桌只剩三张椅子：Zvi 谈中盘、就业与 Anthropic 的承诺主持 Nathan Labenz这是 Zvi Mowshowitz 第 12 次做客 Cognitive Revolution。他认为，2026 年初是中盘的开始：只剩三家实验室还在牌桌上，真正的就业冲击已经在进行，而 Anthropic 的安全承诺如今被缩减为一句“相信我们”。
1:55:02ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026年1月4日播客An Index Fund on AGI: How MATS Filters the Next 120 AI Safety Researchers主持 Nathan LabenzRyan Kidd, co-executive director of MATS, tells Nathan Labenz why he will not shout a timeline, why every safety technique is also a capabilities technique, and who actually gets hired.
2:20:35ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2025年9月28日播客ChatGPT Is a Thousand Days Old. Emad Mostaque Says We Have About a Thousand Left.主持 Nathan LabenzThe Stability AI founder’s new economics argues that when intelligence is abundant, scarcity-based money and GDP stop making sense.
3:14:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2025年9月6日播客Nothing This Summer Jumped the Curve: Why Zvi Lengthened His AGI Timelines主持 Nathan LabenzOn his tenth visit to The Cognitive Revolution, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that GPT-5 and IMO gold stayed on trend, while chip policy, energy, and reinforcement learning nudged his p(doom) slightly up.
2:01:42ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2025年5月1日播客He Put 40 Percent on AI Takeover in Two Years, Then Bought a Bio Shelter主持 Nathan LabenzRedwood Research's Josh Clymer walks through a disturbingly grounded story of how a misaligned model could seize a lab, a biosphere, and a civilization before 2027.
1:57:00ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024年12月28日播客Less Than 1%: Why OpenAI's roon Thinks the Good Guys Get AGI First主持 Nathan LabenzDoom Debates host Liron Shapira presses OpenAI technical staffer roon on extinction odds, alignment-by-default, and a plan that even he admits is balancing on razor wire.
1:59:30ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024年11月12日播客He Walked Away From Millions in OpenAI Equity — Then Wrote Four Rules for AGI Labs主持 Nathan LabenzDaniel Kokotajlo and Dean W. Ball disagree on AI regulation, yet jointly argue that frontier labs need capability disclosures, public model specs, safety cases, and whistleblower protections.
1:54:17ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024年8月28日播客Metaculus Flagged Covid in January 2020. Now It Is Putting AI on the Forecasting Desk主持 Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz talks with Metaculus CEO Deger Turan about epistemic security, a year-long bot tournament, and why a useful forecast is harder than an accurate one.
1:01:39ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024年4月13日播客GPT-5 Wants 100 Trillion Tokens. Does Earth Have Enough?主持 Nathan LabenzTraining GPT-3 took about a trillion tokens; GPT-4 took about ten trillion. The next jump is a data question as much as a compute one.
1:29:21ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024年3月21日播客2,700 AI Authors, No Consensus: Even Odds of HLMI in 2047, 5% Extinction主持 Nathan LabenzKatja Grace of AI Impacts walks Nathan Labenz through a survey of researchers who published in top venues in 2022—and why the field’s only real consensus is uncertainty plus more safety work.
1:50:09ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024年2月27日播客Nine Hundred Occupations, Twenty Years, and Still No AI Revolution主持 Nathan LabenzEconomist Robin Hanson tells Cognitive Revolution why each new AI demo looks like the last one, and why wages and headcount are the tests that matter.
2:42:44EN → 简体中文Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2023年7月11日播客每周写上万字的前交易员，把 AI 末日概率估在 60%主持 Nathan LabenzZvi Mowshowitz 对 Nathan Labenz 说，今天的语言模型是一份礼物；超过人类水平之后，默认的未来是灭绝，或者一个毫无价值的宇宙。他还谈到，究竟谁真正在推动 AI 的争论。
1:42:48ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2023年4月13日播客The Skype Co-Founder Who Wants a Six-Month Pause on Frontier AI主持 Nathan LabenzJaan Tallinn argues that each 10× jump in training compute carries a 1 to 50 percent chance of ending everything, and that the labs still will not say when they will stop.
1:33:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2023年4月4日播客Safe Only Because It's Weak: A GPT-4 Red-Teamer and Two Founders Debate the Pause主持 Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz, who spent six months trying to make GPT-4 misbehave, wants labs to stop training anything bigger; Chroma's Anton Troynikov and Lindy's Flo Crivello argue a six-month freeze buys little and may select for the least careful labs.
2:18:07ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"播客Gambling on Trump for the AI Era: Nathan Labenz and Samuel Hammond Argue the Stakes主持 Nathan LabenzA long, good-natured debate over whether Trump's high-variance, ideas-driven coalition or a stable incrementalist Democratic establishment is the better bet for governing AI, China policy and a possible intelligence explosion.