Tom Loverro on How Market Corrections Reach Startup Valuations

A 2023 investor perspective on the lag between public and private markets.

TLTom LoverroGuest · Partner
Channel
20VC with Harry Stebbings
Published
Feb 17, 2023
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0:50
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1 min
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SUMMARY

In 30 seconds

Loverro describes a sequence in which lower public-market multiples affect later and then earlier private funding rounds.

  1. 1Public pricesLoverro begins with public-market multiples.
  2. 2Later stagesHe expects pre-IPO investors to react first.
  3. 3Earlier stagesHe describes a slower effect on seed rounds.

Takeaways

  1. Public-market changes may precede private repricing.
  2. Later rounds may react before seed rounds.
  3. The timing is the investor’s historical interpretation.
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01

Public-market correction

In a 2023 interview, venture investor Tom Loverro describes how a public-market correction can eventually affect private startup valuations.

In a 2023 interview, venture investor Tom Loverro describes how a public-market correction can eventually affect private startup valuations.

He argues that investors in pre-IPO rounds react first when comparable public companies trade at lower revenue multiples, making earlier private prices less attractive.

02

The private-market lag

In his account, later-stage investors then lower prices, followed months later by earlier-stage investors as expectations flow backward through funding rounds.

In his account, later-stage investors then lower prices, followed months later by earlier-stage investors as expectations flow backward through funding rounds.

Loverro compares the lag to previous downturns, including the dot-com bust and financial crisis. His timing is a historical market interpretation, not a forecast of current prices.

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