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49:14ENHumanoid robots fell from $1.5 million to $30,000. The GPT-3 moment is still a verbNvidia’s Jim Fan tells Sequoia how three kinds of data, a humanoid bet, and a System-1 motor-control model could unlock general-purpose robots.
51:15ENAGI Has One Problem Left: Spend a Million Times More on a TokenMagic founder Eric Steinberger tells Sequoia’s Training Data why he trains his own models, why a software engineer is the MVP of AGI, and why 96% still is not a colleague.
1:27:02ZH → EnglishGuangmi: Self-Play RL Could Open a New Scaling Law for AGIGuest 广密 · Host 张小珺Guangmi believes the marginal gains from scaling language pretraining alone may be fading, making self-play reinforcement learning a more promising path. Whether it generalizes to coding, video, robotics, and beyond may determine the next stage of the AGI race.
50:33ENThe 40% data-center save started with an email that ended in a question markPhaidra founder Jim Gao tells Sequoia how an AlphaGo-inspired bet at Google became reinforcement learning that runs billion-dollar plants.
46:09ENOriol Vinyals: The Days of Burning 90% of Compute on Pretraining Are NumberedHost Sarah Guo, Elad GilGoogle DeepMind’s VP of research on Gemini, long context, the coming shift from pretraining to RL, and why AGI may never have a finish line.
1:07:05ENAlphaGo Combined Learning and Search. Language Models Only Did the First Half.Reflection AI's Misha Laskin tells Sequoia why prompted coding agents stall in the teens, and why the missing piece is still a ground-truth reward.
52:45ENA $150 million model, $5 million six months later: Benchmark’s AI investment mathHost Nathan LabenzEric Vishria and Quilter’s Sergiy Nesterenko explain why PCB layout is not a Copilot problem, why human board data would be the wrong training set, and which AI companies look like sugar highs.
14:33ENAstribot and Other Robot Demonstrations: Dexterity, Soccer and MobilityMatthew Berman · Forward FutureMatthew Berman reviews 2024 robot demonstrations, from Astribot's manipulation tasks to DeepMind soccer, Unitree flips and a legged monocycle.
56:56ENA Week of PCB Layout in an Hour: Quilter Trains Agents, Not ImitatorsHost Nathan LabenzSpaceX alum Sergiy Nesterenko tells Will Summerlin how Quilter uses reinforcement learning to compile schematics into manufacturable boards, and why cloning human layouts would cap the system at human skill.
18:42ENRobot Demonstrations in 2024: 1X, NVIDIA, Spot and BeyondMatthew Berman · Forward FutureMatthew Berman surveys humanoid, quadruped, drone and defense robotics, distinguishing company demonstrations from general-purpose autonomy.
9:15ENFigure 01 and Other Robot Demos: What the 2024 Clips ShowMatthew Berman · Forward FutureMatthew Berman reviews a humanoid making coffee, inexpensive robot arms and other robotics demonstrations. The clips show specific tasks, not proof of artificial general intelligence.
1:43:47ENYou Have to Run Before You Can Walk: Marc Raibert on Making Metal Look AliveGuest Marc Raibert · Host Lex FridmanThe Boston Dynamics founder tells Lex Fridman why aggressive hopping beat cautious walking, how 109 Atlas falls became a method, and why robots still need a second kind of intelligence.
1:58:43ENA Worm With 302 Neurons Already Makes Trade-offs. AI Is Still on the Same Ladder.Host Nathan LabenzMax Bennett maps 600 million years of brain evolution onto five breakthroughs — and asks which rungs today's models have actually reached.
21:00ENJim Fan's Foundation Agent Vision: Skills, Robot Bodies, and SimulationMatthew Berman, Jim Fan · Forward FutureMatthew Berman examines research on Minecraft agents, varied robot bodies, and simulation as steps toward more general embodied AI.
35:16ENWhat Was Known About Q* in 2023—and What Was SpeculationMatthew Berman, Sam Altman, Andrej Karpathy · Forward FutureMatthew Berman surveys rumors, reasoning papers and self-play analogies after OpenAI’s leadership crisis, with important limits on what was verified.
8:26ENVoyager: How a GPT-4 Agent Learns Minecraft SkillsMatthew Berman · Forward FutureMatthew Berman explains a research system that proposes Minecraft tasks, stores reusable code and uses feedback to improve its next attempt.
6:53ENStableVicuna’s 2023 Release: An Early RLHF Chatbot Put to the TestMatthew Berman · Forward FutureMatthew Berman reviews the 13-billion-parameter model and tests poetry, simple code, reasoning and a resignation email.
2:27:58ENIt took Atlas fourteen years to walk the way Playter wantedGuest Robert Playter · Host Lex FridmanBoston Dynamics CEO Robert Playter traces thirty years from a MIT basement pogo stick to Atlas, Spot, and Stretch — and why the company still designs machines that are allowed to fall.
1:07:10ZH → EnglishInstructGPT: From Human Feedback to Language Model AlignmentA guide to InstructGPT’s training process, results, and limitations, from supervised fine-tuning and reward modeling to PPO.
2:29:21ENThe Poker Bot That Never Tried to Read a SoulGuest Noam Brown · Host Lex FridmanNoam Brown tells Lex Fridman how a Nash-equilibrium bot crushed heads-up no-limit Hold'em, how Pluribus did it six-handed, and why Diplomacy required an AI that could earn human trust.
2:10:39ENDemis Hassabis: Solve Intelligence, Then Solve Everything ElseGuest Demis Hassabis · Host Lex FridmanThe DeepMind CEO tells Lex Fridman why the Turing Test is the wrong exam, how AlphaFold rewrote biology, and why the quiet radio sky suggests we are probably alone.
1:56:17ENIf You Reran Earth a Million Times, Would Anything Like Us Appear?Guest Risto Miikkulainen · Host Lex FridmanRisto Miikkulainen on neuroevolution, hyena raids, basil that never sleeps, and why variation-plus-selection still finds solutions backpropagation cannot see.
2:01:07ENMichael Littman isn’t waiting for a runaway god. He’s watching us.Guest Michael Littman · Host Lex FridmanThe Brown reinforcement-learning researcher tells Lex Fridman why accidental superintelligence feels like a 747 assembling itself — and why social media, rote language, and theory of mind worry him more.
1:37:31ENThe Robot That Brought the Beer Was Being TeleoperatedGuest Sergey Levine · Host Lex FridmanSergey Levine tells Lex Fridman why hardware is almost closed, why common sense has to be lived, and why offline reinforcement learning is the missing on-ramp from logs to robots that keep getting better.
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