필터 결과
24개정렬
1:26:46EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026년 10월 8일팟캐스트There Likely Is a Level of Intelligence We Shouldn't Go Past진행자 Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz brings notes from The Curve, a chip startup whose token bill beat payroll, and a software industry that now performance-reviews people for Claude slop.
2:13:27ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026년 9월 29일팟캐스트He Wrote a Book to Stop the AI Race — Then Almost Got Addicted to Claude진행자 Nathan LabenzJournalist Garrison Lovely takes the AGI labs at their word, rejects the bubble story, and argues for freezing the frontier until the public actually consents.
3:10:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026년 4월 11일팟캐스트Crunch Time: Ajeya Cotra's Playbook for the Months Before Superintelligence진행자 Nathan LabenzA conversation on recursive self-improvement, public warning systems, and using each generation of AI to align and control the next.
1:44:15ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026년 4월 1일팟캐스트Nathan Labenz's p(doom) Is 10 to 90 Percent. He Is More Optimistic Anyway진행자 Nathan LabenzFive years ago, expecting AGI by 2035 made you an extremist. On The Intelligence Horizon, the Cognitive Revolution host explains why the same forecast now sounds bearish, and why he still thinks a defense-in-depth strategy might keep society on the rails.
3:27:22ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026년 3월 19일팟캐스트The AI Table Has Three Seats Left: Zvi on the Middle Game, Jobs, and Anthropic's Promises진행자 Nathan LabenzOn his 12th Cognitive Revolution appearance, Zvi Mowshowitz argues early 2026 is the start of the middle — with only three labs still playing, a real job shock underway, and Anthropic's safety commitments reduced to trust us.
1:03:00EN
Unsupervised Learning: With Jacob Effron· 2026년 1월 29일팟캐스트A Model That Solves New Math Problems Every Week Still Isn't AGI진행자 Jacob EffronFormer OpenAI research VP Jerry Tworek on why scaling still works, why models go hopeless when they fail, and why he left to chase continual learning.
1:55:02ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2026년 1월 4일팟캐스트An Index Fund on AGI: How MATS Filters the Next 120 AI Safety Researchers진행자 Nathan LabenzRyan Kidd, co-executive director of MATS, tells Nathan Labenz why he will not shout a timeline, why every safety technique is also a capabilities technique, and who actually gets hired.
2:20:35ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2025년 9월 28일팟캐스트ChatGPT Is a Thousand Days Old. Emad Mostaque Says We Have About a Thousand Left.진행자 Nathan LabenzThe Stability AI founder’s new economics argues that when intelligence is abundant, scarcity-based money and GDP stop making sense.
3:14:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2025년 9월 6일팟캐스트Nothing This Summer Jumped the Curve: Why Zvi Lengthened His AGI Timelines진행자 Nathan LabenzOn his tenth visit to The Cognitive Revolution, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that GPT-5 and IMO gold stayed on trend, while chip policy, energy, and reinforcement learning nudged his p(doom) slightly up.
2:01:42ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2025년 5월 1일팟캐스트He Put 40 Percent on AI Takeover in Two Years, Then Bought a Bio Shelter진행자 Nathan LabenzRedwood Research's Josh Clymer walks through a disturbingly grounded story of how a misaligned model could seize a lab, a biosphere, and a civilization before 2027.
1:57:00ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024년 12월 28일팟캐스트Less Than 1%: Why OpenAI's roon Thinks the Good Guys Get AGI First진행자 Nathan LabenzDoom Debates host Liron Shapira presses OpenAI technical staffer roon on extinction odds, alignment-by-default, and a plan that even he admits is balancing on razor wire.
1:59:30ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024년 11월 12일팟캐스트He Walked Away From Millions in OpenAI Equity — Then Wrote Four Rules for AGI Labs진행자 Nathan LabenzDaniel Kokotajlo and Dean W. Ball disagree on AI regulation, yet jointly argue that frontier labs need capability disclosures, public model specs, safety cases, and whistleblower protections.
1:54:17ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024년 8월 28일팟캐스트Metaculus Flagged Covid in January 2020. Now It Is Putting AI on the Forecasting Desk진행자 Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz talks with Metaculus CEO Deger Turan about epistemic security, a year-long bot tournament, and why a useful forecast is harder than an accurate one.
1:01:39ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024년 4월 13일팟캐스트GPT-5 Wants 100 Trillion Tokens. Does Earth Have Enough?진행자 Nathan LabenzTraining GPT-3 took about a trillion tokens; GPT-4 took about ten trillion. The next jump is a data question as much as a compute one.
1:29:21ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024년 3월 21일팟캐스트2,700 AI Authors, No Consensus: Even Odds of HLMI in 2047, 5% Extinction진행자 Nathan LabenzKatja Grace of AI Impacts walks Nathan Labenz through a survey of researchers who published in top venues in 2022—and why the field’s only real consensus is uncertainty plus more safety work.
1:50:09ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2024년 2월 27일팟캐스트Nine Hundred Occupations, Twenty Years, and Still No AI Revolution진행자 Nathan LabenzEconomist Robin Hanson tells Cognitive Revolution why each new AI demo looks like the last one, and why wages and headcount are the tests that matter.
2:42:44ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2023년 7월 11일팟캐스트The Former Trader Who Writes 10,000 Words a Week Puts AI Doom at 60 Percent진행자 Nathan LabenzZvi Mowshowitz tells Nathan Labenz why today's language models are a gift, why the default future past human level is extinction or a worthless universe, and who actually moves the AI debate.
1:42:48ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2023년 4월 13일팟캐스트The Skype Co-Founder Who Wants a Six-Month Pause on Frontier AI진행자 Nathan LabenzJaan Tallinn argues that each 10× jump in training compute carries a 1 to 50 percent chance of ending everything, and that the labs still will not say when they will stop.
1:33:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 2023년 4월 4일팟캐스트Safe Only Because It's Weak: A GPT-4 Red-Teamer and Two Founders Debate the Pause진행자 Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz, who spent six months trying to make GPT-4 misbehave, wants labs to stop training anything bigger; Chroma's Anton Troynikov and Lindy's Flo Crivello argue a six-month freeze buys little and may select for the least careful labs.
1:25:13EN
Lenny's Podcast팟캐스트Codex Is Not Just a Coding Tool: OpenAI's Plan for an Agent That Behaves Like a Teammate진행자 Lenny RachitskyCodex product lead Alexander Embiricos explains the 20x growth, why every useful agent may need to write code, and why human review speed is the real bottleneck.
1:23:56ENUnsupervised Learning: With Jacob Effron팟캐스트A Three-Month Window: The AI 2027 Authors on Superhuman Coders, Faked Alignment and Who Ends Up in Control진행자 Jacob EffronDaniel Kokotajlo and Thomas Larsen walk through their AI 2027 scenario, where they disagree on timelines and alignment, and what they think governments and the public should do.
1:14:59ENLenny's Podcast팟캐스트Why Anthropic's Ben Mann Thinks the Exponential Hasn't Slowed, and Why He Still Worries About Safety진행자 Lenny RachitskyThe Anthropic co-founder on the AI talent war, scaling laws, the economic Turing test, jobs, leaving OpenAI, constitutional AI and how he forecasts the risk of superintelligence.
50:23ENUnsupervised Learning: With Jacob Effron팟캐스트OpenAI’s Platform Bet: Where AI Value Accrues, Why Open Source Trails, and When Superintelligence Arrives진행자 Jacob EffronPeter Welinder explains OpenAI’s platform strategy, the case for proprietary frontier models over open source, the enterprise hallucination problem, and his speculative timeline for AGI and superintelligence.
2:18:07ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"팟캐스트Gambling on Trump for the AI Era: Nathan Labenz and Samuel Hammond Argue the Stakes진행자 Nathan LabenzA long, good-natured debate over whether Trump's high-variance, ideas-driven coalition or a stable incrementalist Democratic establishment is the better bet for governing AI, China policy and a possible intelligence explosion.