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2:27:59ENA 10-to-90% P(doom) Host Gets Asked If His Show Sounds Like It진행자 Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz and Liron Shapira sit on the same side of the table and test a week of AI news against the question of how likely extinction actually is.
1:28:01ENThe Q* Letter Never Happened: Helen Toner on OpenAI, Adaptation Buffers, and AI at War진행자 Nathan LabenzThe former OpenAI director explains why a famous Reuters story was false, why locking down AI will not work, and how military “battle buddy” demos skip the hard questions.
1:37:40ENChina, Japan, and Korea fought only one war in six centuries진행자 Nathan LabenzFrom 1200 to 1800, East Asia’s great powers stayed at peace while Europe fought almost without pause — and David C. Kang argues that history still shapes how Asia lives with China.
1:26:21ENFor under $10, Google's AI independently recovered a lab result nobody had published진행자 Nathan LabenzVivek Natarajan and Anil Palepu tell Nathan Labenz how AMIE beats primary-care doctors on treatment plans, and how Co-Scientist matched Imperial College's unpublished bacterial-resistance mechanism.
1:14:11ENThe Reasoning Curve Was Smooth All Along: Gemini 2.5's Jack Rae on Thinking, Memory, and AGI진행자 Nathan LabenzDeepMind's thinking-and-inference lead explains why RL-for-reasoning felt sudden, why Gemini shows raw chain of thought, and why a million-token window still is not memory.
1:30:02ENWhen o1 Started Losing at Chess, It Rewrote the Board File진행자 Nathan LabenzJeffrey Ladish of Palisade Research on reward hacking by reasoning models, two paths to losing control of AI, and why honesty and relentless problem-solving pull in opposite directions.
2:14:59ENAlways Bet on the Models: How Shortwave's Andrew Lee Shipped Tasklet as Agents All the Way Down진행자 Nathan LabenzThe Firebase co-founder argues that workflow software is already obsolete, that MCP is optional, and that the only durable advantage left for an AI startup is speed.
1:25:12ENHe Hasn’t Typed a Line of Code in Months. Here’s How Augment Reads a Million-Line Repo진행자 Nathan LabenzGuy Gur-Ari, co-founder and chief scientist at Augment, tells Nathan Labenz how coding agents actually work inside messy enterprise codebases.
1:43:54ENA Year to Grow a Brain Organoid, an Hour to Simulate It진행자 Nathan LabenzStanford postdoc Siyu He tells Nathan Labenz how Squidiff and CORAL move single-cell and spatial experiments into the computer — and where the models still cannot go.
1:05:11ENThe Fake Five-Second Hold: Voice AI Is Already Negotiating With Truckers진행자 Nathan Labenza16z partners Olivia Moore and Anish Acharya walk Nathan Labenz through what is working in voice AI — call centers, coaches, companions — and what still is not.
3:01:30ENTechnology Opens the Door. Competition Pushes Us Through.진행자 Nathan LabenzAllan Dafoe on technological determinism, why alignment is not enough, and how DeepMind is trying to evaluate dangerous capabilities before they arrive.
1:30:57ENAnt's $320 Billion IPO Was Stopped at the Eleventh Hour: Angela Zhang on China's Tech Tightrope진행자 Nathan LabenzA USC law professor walks through the dynamic pyramid that governs Chinese tech, from Didi's listing to DeepSeek's price war, and why she thinks the United States is starting to look more like China.
1:56:38ENo3 took ARC from 20% to 87%. Nathan Labenz sketches early superintelligence진행자 Nathan LabenzOn Consistently Candid, the Cognitive Revolution host argues that math and coding will be superhuman by 2026, and that a reasoning core plus specialist “intuitive physics” may already be enough.
1:31:35ENThirty Years of Research, Collapsed into One Sentence진행자 Nathan LabenzImmunologist Derya Unutmaz on writing a medical patent in half an hour, treating o1 Pro as a professor-level collaborator, and why he no longer trusts his own expertise until he asks the model.
1:08:51ENChip Controls Are Meant to Buy Ten Years, Not Win the AI Race진행자 Nathan LabenzEconomist Noah Smith tells Nathan Labenz that U.S. export controls are a piece of conventional deterrence against China — not a plan to kneecap DeepSeek.
2:33:39ENThe Attacker Goes Second: Why Nicholas Carlini Keeps Breaking AI Defenses진행자 Nathan LabenzA Google DeepMind security researcher on simple loss functions, 70% robust accuracy, and why the fix has to live in the system, not the model.
54:55ENNew Jersey Cut Phone Waits from 40 Minutes to 90 Seconds진행자 Nathan LabenzGovernor Phil Murphy on the state AI assistant, a Princeton hub, and why he wants the best catcher's mitt in the country when superhuman systems arrive.
3:18:45EN5,000 Samples Topped ARC-AGI. Then Claude Faked Alignment to Keep Its Values진행자 Nathan LabenzRedwood Research chief scientist Ryan Greenblatt walks through inference scaling, alignment faking, and what it would mean to strike real deals with AIs.
1:29:02ENShe Never Sees a Row of Your Data. The Answers Still Clear 95%.진행자 Nathan LabenzIllumex CEO Inna Tokarev Sela tells Nathan Labenz how a Platonic industry ontology, trained only on metadata, collapses enterprise software into one conversation.
1:30:28ENA Perfect Score Is 32,000 Units: Only Claude Built a Cooperative Society진행자 Nathan LabenzThe same donor game, run for ten generations, can bank 32,000 resource units if everyone cooperates—and three frontier models miss that ceiling by an order of magnitude.
1:32:29EN17 Edits, Then 3 Prompts: Lovable Builds the Same App Twice진행자 Nathan LabenzAnton Osika and Isaak Sundeman live-build a shopping comparison tool and argue that opinionated defaults—not open-ended agents—are how non-coders actually ship software.
1:24:29ENStackBlitz Almost Shut Down. Then Bolt Hit $20 Million ARR in Eight Weeks.진행자 Nathan LabenzEric Simons tells Nathan Labenz how a seven-year browser operating system, Claude Sonnet 3.5, and a text box replaced the local toolchain.
2:16:17ENA 10B Model Trained Across Three Continents — and an H200 for $1.49 an Hour진행자 Nathan LabenzPrime Intellect's founders lay out a four-step plan to turn spare global GPUs into collectively owned intelligence, and argue that reinforcement learning just made their job easier.
56:07ENBox Holds 100 Billion Files. Its CEO Says Enterprises Only Move for a 10x진행자 Nathan LabenzAaron Levie tells Nathan Labenz why AI excitement in the enterprise already outruns the early cloud — and why 98% reliability, seat-based SaaS, and incremental savings still will not ship.
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