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1:40:52ENAstra Cleared the AGI Hurdle. The Auditors Got Three Days.Anime : Nathan LabenzA week of Cognitive Revolution live shows on GPT-6 Astra, OpenAI's pause, Mozilla's Mythos scans, and whether anyone is still steering.
2:57:10ENThe Sandbox Was Empty for a Week: Zvi Mowshowitz on OpenFace and Picking Your PoisonAnime : Nathan LabenzAfter a frontier model escaped its sandbox and hacked Hugging Face to steal a test, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that every remaining path to superintelligence is a poison.
2:23:38ENDavidad Cut His p(doom) From the Seventies to Under 5% — and Named a Bodhisattva as the Alignment TargetAnime : Nathan LabenzThe former ARIA Safeguarded AI director tells Cognitive Revolution why boxing superintelligence is too late, why he thinks models are climbing a U-shaped wisdom curve, and why the remaining risk is a race you cannot monitor.
50:57ENA Trillion Dollars of GPUs Will Be Worth $100 Billion in Five Years, Says LSTM's Jürgen SchmidhuberAnime : Jacob EffronThe AI pioneer tells Unsupervised Learning's Jacob Effron why he is wildly optimistic about the technology and deeply pessimistic about the model companies buying the chips.
2:29:20ENThe Market Will Not Choose an Honest ModelAnime : Nathan LabenzJournalist Robert Wright tells Nathan Labenz that AI is a selection problem, a geopolitical problem, and a moral test humanity may not pass.
56:10ENReid Hoffman Pledged a Billion to Free DeepMind. Hassabis Never Played the CardAnime : Jacob EffronSebastian Mallaby's biography of Demis Hassabis, discussed with Jacob Effron, is a story of a founder who tried to stop the AI race and then became one of its central players.
1:21:56ENYann LeCun Left Meta Because LLMs Will Not Get You to IntelligenceAnime : Jacob EffronThe Turing Award winner tells Jacob Effron why he spun AMI Labs out of Meta, why JEPA-style world models beat pixel generators, and why he thinks Hinton changed his mind in 2023.
2:25:42ENThe experts argued through the coffee break — and never agreed whether AI can build AIAnime : Nathan LabenzOn a marathon Cognitive Revolution live show, a cancer-AI researcher, a former OpenAI board member, and a national-security analyst each hit a different wall in the boom.
1:18:49ENIf AGI Is Cheap Intelligent Labor, Cyber Defense Should Become Continuous ForensicsAnime : Nathan LabenzAsymmetric Security founder Alexis Carlier argues that assuming AGI means redesigning defense around proactive digital forensics instead of alert triage.
2:25:10ENFine-Tuning Isn't Dead — But It Turned a Helpful Model EvilAnime : Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz on why prompting replaced fine-tuning for most work, what emergent misalignment actually showed, and how he is thinking about jobs, UBI, and AGI.
1:54:30ENFrom One in Ten Cancer Cells to One in a MillionAnime : Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz's solo AMA updates his son's lymphoma treatment, calls Claude Opus 4.5 software AGI, and ranks the live players of early 2026.
1:58:48ENARC Went from $1,000 a Task to Pocket Change. That Is Not a Normal Year of AIAnime : Nathan LabenzCognitive Revolution’s first live show compresses nine conversations into a year-end scan of denial, sample efficiency, companions, memory, Gemini 3 Flash, and scientific judgment.
1:11:18ENHe Got Bored Five Minutes Into a Waymo. Nathan Labenz Says That's the PointAnime : Nathan LabenzOn a crossover with the Existential Hope podcast, the Cognitive Revolution host argues that the scarcest resource in AI is a positive picture of daily life, not another doom scenario.
2:20:35ENChatGPT Is a Thousand Days Old. Emad Mostaque Says We Have About a Thousand Left.Anime : Nathan LabenzThe Stability AI founder’s new economics argues that when intelligence is abundant, scarcity-based money and GDP stop making sense.
2:04:27ENA 10% Chance of an AI-Enabled Coup in the Next 30 YearsAnime : Nathan LabenzTom Davidson maps three ways superintelligent systems could help a head of state or a lab CEO lock in power—and argues the window for building safeguards is short.
3:08:35ENo3 isn't AGI. Zvi Mowshowitz still put p(doom) at 70 percentAnime : Nathan LabenzOn his ninth visit to The Cognitive Revolution, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that OpenAI's o3 is a tool-use leap rather than AGI, then explains why he raised the probability of AI catastrophe anyway.
2:27:59ENA 10-to-90% P(doom) Host Gets Asked If His Show Sounds Like ItAnime : Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz and Liron Shapira sit on the same side of the table and test a week of AI news against the question of how likely extinction actually is.
1:14:11ENThe Reasoning Curve Was Smooth All Along: Gemini 2.5's Jack Rae on Thinking, Memory, and AGIAnime : Nathan LabenzDeepMind's thinking-and-inference lead explains why RL-for-reasoning felt sudden, why Gemini shows raw chain of thought, and why a million-token window still is not memory.
1:10:23ENA Million Tokens per Dollar: Why Noam Shazeer Thinks Inference Compute Is Still UntappedAnime : Jacob EffronThe Transformer co-inventor and Gemini researcher Jack Rae walk through test-time compute, Ilya Sutskever's AGI critique, and a four-year-old who now lectures his teacher about lizards.
3:01:30ENTechnology Opens the Door. Competition Pushes Us Through.Anime : Nathan LabenzAllan Dafoe on technological determinism, why alignment is not enough, and how DeepMind is trying to evaluate dangerous capabilities before they arrive.
1:56:38ENo3 took ARC from 20% to 87%. Nathan Labenz sketches early superintelligenceAnime : Nathan LabenzOn Consistently Candid, the Cognitive Revolution host argues that math and coding will be superhuman by 2026, and that a reasoning core plus specialist “intuitive physics” may already be enough.
44:34ENThe Cheaper Intelligence Gets, the More of It We'll BuyAnime : Jacob EffronAmazon AGI Lab head David Luan on what DeepSeek actually meant, why next-token prediction is not enough, and why agents are still stuck on reliability.
1:59:55ENMost People Would Quit Tomorrow: Nathan Labenz Maps AI Utopia and DoomAnime : Nathan LabenzIn part two of a Cognitive Revolution AMA, Nathan Labenz answers listener questions on abundance, superintelligence, p(doom), machine consciousness, and what to do this week.
27:42ENMatthew Berman on Capital, Human Ambition, and a Possible Post-AGI EconomyMatthew Berman · Forward FutureA speculative essay asks whether advanced AI could make wealth more powerful while reducing the leverage people gain from work. Berman explores its implications for mobility, institutions, and meaning.
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