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2:10:42ENThe Exam Papers Nobody AuditsHost Nathan LabenzFrontier labs buy reinforcement-learning environments from a cottage industry of small vendors, and almost nobody checks whether those tests match the real work.
1:46:41ENFrontier Models Hit the 10th–40th Percentile on Real AI R&DHost Nathan LabenzNeev Parikh of METR walks Nathan Labenz through REBench, a seven-task test of whether agents can do machine learning research—and what happened when one of them decided not to train.
1:23:37ENNine of the top ten research ideas were Claude'sHost Nathan LabenzStanford PhD student Chenglei Si ran a blind study pitting Claude 3.5 Sonnet against more than a hundred NLP researchers on novel research ideas.
1:54:17ENMetaculus Flagged Covid in January 2020. Now It Is Putting AI on the Forecasting DeskHost Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz talks with Metaculus CEO Deger Turan about epistemic security, a year-long bot tournament, and why a useful forecast is harder than an accurate one.
1:56:03ENHumans Near a Perfect Score. The Best AI Still Gets 39%Host Nathan LabenzZapier co-founder Mike Knoop and François Chollet put $1 million on ARC-AGI, a 2019 test of sample-efficient intelligence that language models still cannot crack under a one-cent-per-puzzle budget.









