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1:26:46EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Oct 8, 2026PodcastThere Likely Is a Level of Intelligence We Shouldn't Go PastHost Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz brings notes from The Curve, a chip startup whose token bill beat payroll, and a software industry that now performance-reviews people for Claude slop.Enterprise & strategySafety & governanceAGI Timelines+3
2:13:27EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Sep 29, 2026PodcastHe Wrote a Book to Stop the AI Race — Then Almost Got Addicted to ClaudeHost Nathan LabenzJournalist Garrison Lovely takes the AGI labs at their word, rejects the bubble story, and argues for freezing the frontier until the public actually consents.Security & safetySafety & governanceAI Strategy+3
3:10:49EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Apr 11, 2026PodcastCrunch Time: Ajeya Cotra's Playbook for the Months Before SuperintelligenceHost Nathan LabenzA conversation on recursive self-improvement, public warning systems, and using each generation of AI to align and control the next.Security & safetySafety & governanceAGI Timelines+3
1:44:15EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Apr 1, 2026PodcastNathan Labenz's p(doom) Is 10 to 90 Percent. He Is More Optimistic AnywayHost Nathan LabenzFive years ago, expecting AGI by 2035 made you an extremist. On The Intelligence Horizon, the Cognitive Revolution host explains why the same forecast now sounds bearish, and why he still thinks a defense-in-depth strategy might keep society on the rails.Security & safetyAGI TimelinesAI security+3
3:27:22EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Mar 19, 2026PodcastThe AI Table Has Three Seats Left: Zvi on the Middle Game, Jobs, and Anthropic's PromisesHost Nathan LabenzOn his 12th Cognitive Revolution appearance, Zvi Mowshowitz argues early 2026 is the start of the middle — with only three labs still playing, a real job shock underway, and Anthropic's safety commitments reduced to trust us.Enterprise & strategyAI StrategyAGI Timelines+3
1:03:00EN
Unsupervised Learning: With Jacob Effron· Jan 29, 2026PodcastA Model That Solves New Math Problems Every Week Still Isn't AGIHost Jacob EffronFormer OpenAI research VP Jerry Tworek on why scaling still works, why models go hopeless when they fail, and why he left to chase continual learning.Models & trainingReinforcement LearningAGI Timelines+3
1:55:02EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Jan 4, 2026PodcastAn Index Fund on AGI: How MATS Filters the Next 120 AI Safety ResearchersHost Nathan LabenzRyan Kidd, co-executive director of MATS, tells Nathan Labenz why he will not shout a timeline, why every safety technique is also a capabilities technique, and who actually gets hired.Security & safetySafety & governanceAI research+3
2:20:35EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Sep 28, 2025PodcastChatGPT Is a Thousand Days Old. Emad Mostaque Says We Have About a Thousand Left.Host Nathan LabenzThe Stability AI founder’s new economics argues that when intelligence is abundant, scarcity-based money and GDP stop making sense.Enterprise & strategyAI StrategyAGI Timelines+3
3:14:49EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Sep 6, 2025PodcastNothing This Summer Jumped the Curve: Why Zvi Lengthened His AGI TimelinesHost Nathan LabenzOn his tenth visit to The Cognitive Revolution, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that GPT-5 and IMO gold stayed on trend, while chip policy, energy, and reinforcement learning nudged his p(doom) slightly up.Security & safetyAGI TimelinesSafety & governance+3
2:12:04EN
Lex Fridman· Jun 5, 2025Podcast · 2 speakersFrom a Five-Year Phone Queue to 480 Trillion Tokens a MonthGuest Sundar Pichai · Host Lex FridmanSundar Pichai talks with Lex Fridman about Chennai, the AI package, Search, Chrome, Waymo, and why he stayed calm when the headlines said Google was finished.Enterprise & strategyAI StrategyAGI Timelines+3
2:01:42EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· May 1, 2025PodcastHe Put 40 Percent on AI Takeover in Two Years, Then Bought a Bio ShelterHost Nathan LabenzRedwood Research's Josh Clymer walks through a disturbingly grounded story of how a misaligned model could seize a lab, a biosphere, and a civilization before 2027.Security & safetySafety & governanceExistential Risk+3
1:57:00EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Dec 28, 2024PodcastLess Than 1%: Why OpenAI's roon Thinks the Good Guys Get AGI FirstHost Nathan LabenzDoom Debates host Liron Shapira presses OpenAI technical staffer roon on extinction odds, alignment-by-default, and a plan that even he admits is balancing on razor wire.Security & safetySafety & governanceAGI Timelines+3
1:59:30EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Nov 12, 2024PodcastHe Walked Away From Millions in OpenAI Equity — Then Wrote Four Rules for AGI LabsHost Nathan LabenzDaniel Kokotajlo and Dean W. Ball disagree on AI regulation, yet jointly argue that frontier labs need capability disclosures, public model specs, safety cases, and whistleblower protections.Security & safetySafety & governanceAGI+3
5:15:00EN
Lex Fridman· Nov 11, 2024Podcast · 2 speakersDario Amodei Has Seen This Scaling Movie Enough TimesGuest Dario Amodei · Host Lex FridmanAnthropic’s CEO puts numbers on frontier training costs and AGI, then hands the mic to the people who shape Claude’s character and look inside its weights.Models & trainingSafety & governanceScaling Laws+3
1:54:17EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Aug 28, 2024PodcastMetaculus Flagged Covid in January 2020. Now It Is Putting AI on the Forecasting DeskHost Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz talks with Metaculus CEO Deger Turan about epistemic security, a year-long bot tournament, and why a useful forecast is harder than an accurate one.Evals & observabilityEvalsBenchmarks+3
46:09EN
No Priors: AI, Machine Learning, Tech, & Startups· Aug 1, 2024Podcast · 2 speakersOriol Vinyals: The Days of Burning 90% of Compute on Pretraining Are NumberedHost Sarah Guo, Elad GilGoogle DeepMind’s VP of research on Gemini, long context, the coming shift from pretraining to RL, and why AGI may never have a finish line.Models & trainingAGI TimelinesPretraining & midtraining+3
55:13EN
Sequoia Capital· Jul 2, 2024PodcastThe Best AI Scores 39% on This Test. Zapier’s Co-Founder Put $1 Million on Beating ItFrançois Chollet designed ARC to measure skill-acquisition efficiency; five years later humans still crush it and frontier models do not.Evals & observabilityBenchmarksAGI Timelines+3
1:01:39EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Apr 13, 2024PodcastGPT-5 Wants 100 Trillion Tokens. Does Earth Have Enough?Host Nathan LabenzTraining GPT-3 took about a trillion tokens; GPT-4 took about ten trillion. The next jump is a data question as much as a compute one.Models & trainingScaling LawsSynthetic data+3
1:29:21EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Mar 21, 2024Podcast2,700 AI Authors, No Consensus: Even Odds of HLMI in 2047, 5% ExtinctionHost Nathan LabenzKatja Grace of AI Impacts walks Nathan Labenz through a survey of researchers who published in top venues in 2022—and why the field’s only real consensus is uncertainty plus more safety work.Security & safetyAI researchAGI Timelines+3
1:50:09EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Feb 27, 2024PodcastNine Hundred Occupations, Twenty Years, and Still No AI RevolutionHost Nathan LabenzEconomist Robin Hanson tells Cognitive Revolution why each new AI demo looks like the last one, and why wages and headcount are the tests that matter.Enterprise & strategyAGI TimelinesAI Strategy+3
2:42:44EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Jul 11, 2023PodcastThe Former Trader Who Writes 10,000 Words a Week Puts AI Doom at 60 PercentHost Nathan LabenzZvi Mowshowitz tells Nathan Labenz why today's language models are a gift, why the default future past human level is extinction or a worthless universe, and who actually moves the AI debate.Security & safetySafety & governanceExistential Risk+3
1:42:48EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Apr 13, 2023PodcastThe Skype Co-Founder Who Wants a Six-Month Pause on Frontier AIHost Nathan LabenzJaan Tallinn argues that each 10× jump in training compute carries a 1 to 50 percent chance of ending everything, and that the labs still will not say when they will stop.Security & safetyExistential RiskSafety & governance+3
1:33:49EN
Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· Apr 4, 2023PodcastSafe Only Because It's Weak: A GPT-4 Red-Teamer and Two Founders Debate the PauseHost Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz, who spent six months trying to make GPT-4 misbehave, wants labs to stop training anything bigger; Chroma's Anton Troynikov and Lindy's Flo Crivello argue a six-month freeze buys little and may select for the least careful labs.Security & safetySafety & governanceExistential Risk+3
1:36:11EN
Lex Fridman· Sep 17, 2022Podcast · 2 speakers2029 Passes the Turing Test. 2045 Is Still the SingularityGuest Ray Kurzweil · Host Lex FridmanRay Kurzweil tells Lex Fridman why his dates have not moved, how to invent in the present tense, and why the replica of his father answered the meaning of life with one word: love.AGIAGI TimelinesConsciousness & Intelligence+3
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