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Cognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 8. Okt. 2026PodcastThere Likely Is a Level of Intelligence We Shouldn't Go PastModeration: Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz brings notes from The Curve, a chip startup whose token bill beat payroll, and a software industry that now performance-reviews people for Claude slop.
2:13:27ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 29. Sept. 2026PodcastHe Wrote a Book to Stop the AI Race — Then Almost Got Addicted to ClaudeModeration: Nathan LabenzJournalist Garrison Lovely takes the AGI labs at their word, rejects the bubble story, and argues for freezing the frontier until the public actually consents.
3:10:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 11. Apr. 2026PodcastCrunch Time: Ajeya Cotra's Playbook for the Months Before SuperintelligenceModeration: Nathan LabenzA conversation on recursive self-improvement, public warning systems, and using each generation of AI to align and control the next.
1:44:15ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 1. Apr. 2026PodcastNathan Labenz's p(doom) Is 10 to 90 Percent. He Is More Optimistic AnywayModeration: Nathan LabenzFive years ago, expecting AGI by 2035 made you an extremist. On The Intelligence Horizon, the Cognitive Revolution host explains why the same forecast now sounds bearish, and why he still thinks a defense-in-depth strategy might keep society on the rails.
3:27:22ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 19. März 2026PodcastThe AI Table Has Three Seats Left: Zvi on the Middle Game, Jobs, and Anthropic's PromisesModeration: Nathan LabenzOn his 12th Cognitive Revolution appearance, Zvi Mowshowitz argues early 2026 is the start of the middle — with only three labs still playing, a real job shock underway, and Anthropic's safety commitments reduced to trust us.
1:55:02ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 4. Jan. 2026PodcastAn Index Fund on AGI: How MATS Filters the Next 120 AI Safety ResearchersModeration: Nathan LabenzRyan Kidd, co-executive director of MATS, tells Nathan Labenz why he will not shout a timeline, why every safety technique is also a capabilities technique, and who actually gets hired.
2:20:35ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 28. Sept. 2025PodcastChatGPT Is a Thousand Days Old. Emad Mostaque Says We Have About a Thousand Left.Moderation: Nathan LabenzThe Stability AI founder’s new economics argues that when intelligence is abundant, scarcity-based money and GDP stop making sense.
3:14:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 6. Sept. 2025PodcastNothing This Summer Jumped the Curve: Why Zvi Lengthened His AGI TimelinesModeration: Nathan LabenzOn his tenth visit to The Cognitive Revolution, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that GPT-5 and IMO gold stayed on trend, while chip policy, energy, and reinforcement learning nudged his p(doom) slightly up.
2:01:42ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 1. Mai 2025PodcastHe Put 40 Percent on AI Takeover in Two Years, Then Bought a Bio ShelterModeration: Nathan LabenzRedwood Research's Josh Clymer walks through a disturbingly grounded story of how a misaligned model could seize a lab, a biosphere, and a civilization before 2027.
1:57:00ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 28. Dez. 2024PodcastLess Than 1%: Why OpenAI's roon Thinks the Good Guys Get AGI FirstModeration: Nathan LabenzDoom Debates host Liron Shapira presses OpenAI technical staffer roon on extinction odds, alignment-by-default, and a plan that even he admits is balancing on razor wire.
1:59:30ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 12. Nov. 2024PodcastHe Walked Away From Millions in OpenAI Equity — Then Wrote Four Rules for AGI LabsModeration: Nathan LabenzDaniel Kokotajlo and Dean W. Ball disagree on AI regulation, yet jointly argue that frontier labs need capability disclosures, public model specs, safety cases, and whistleblower protections.
1:54:17ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 28. Aug. 2024PodcastMetaculus Flagged Covid in January 2020. Now It Is Putting AI on the Forecasting DeskModeration: Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz talks with Metaculus CEO Deger Turan about epistemic security, a year-long bot tournament, and why a useful forecast is harder than an accurate one.
1:01:39ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 13. Apr. 2024PodcastGPT-5 Wants 100 Trillion Tokens. Does Earth Have Enough?Moderation: Nathan LabenzTraining GPT-3 took about a trillion tokens; GPT-4 took about ten trillion. The next jump is a data question as much as a compute one.
1:29:21ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 21. März 2024Podcast2,700 AI Authors, No Consensus: Even Odds of HLMI in 2047, 5% ExtinctionModeration: Nathan LabenzKatja Grace of AI Impacts walks Nathan Labenz through a survey of researchers who published in top venues in 2022—and why the field’s only real consensus is uncertainty plus more safety work.
1:50:09ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 27. Feb. 2024PodcastNine Hundred Occupations, Twenty Years, and Still No AI RevolutionModeration: Nathan LabenzEconomist Robin Hanson tells Cognitive Revolution why each new AI demo looks like the last one, and why wages and headcount are the tests that matter.
2:42:44ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 11. Juli 2023PodcastThe Former Trader Who Writes 10,000 Words a Week Puts AI Doom at 60 PercentModeration: Nathan LabenzZvi Mowshowitz tells Nathan Labenz why today's language models are a gift, why the default future past human level is extinction or a worthless universe, and who actually moves the AI debate.
1:42:48ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 13. Apr. 2023PodcastThe Skype Co-Founder Who Wants a Six-Month Pause on Frontier AIModeration: Nathan LabenzJaan Tallinn argues that each 10× jump in training compute carries a 1 to 50 percent chance of ending everything, and that the labs still will not say when they will stop.
1:33:49ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"· 4. Apr. 2023PodcastSafe Only Because It's Weak: A GPT-4 Red-Teamer and Two Founders Debate the PauseModeration: Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz, who spent six months trying to make GPT-4 misbehave, wants labs to stop training anything bigger; Chroma's Anton Troynikov and Lindy's Flo Crivello argue a six-month freeze buys little and may select for the least careful labs.
2:18:07ENCognitive Revolution "How AI Changes Everything"PodcastGambling on Trump for the AI Era: Nathan Labenz and Samuel Hammond Argue the StakesModeration: Nathan LabenzA long, good-natured debate over whether Trump's high-variance, ideas-driven coalition or a stable incrementalist Democratic establishment is the better bet for governing AI, China policy and a possible intelligence explosion.