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18:31ENJanie Gu and Suyeol Yun: Why Frontier Models Fail as Buy-Side AnalystsJanie Gu, Suyeol Yun · Google DeepMindJanie Gu explains why benchmark scores can mislead, while Suyeol Yun presents MandateBench, which tests whether a model can turn a fund mandate into a defensible investment memo. The two talks show why real workflows, reproducible grading, and evidence-backed reasoning matter.
22:05ENApple’s “Illusion of Thinking”: Puzzle Limits and a Code-Assisted TestMatthew Berman, Ilya Sutskever · Forward FutureMatthew Berman reviews Apple’s reasoning-model experiments and tests a different way to solve Tower of Hanoi using generated code.
18:05ENOpenAI’s Coding-Competition Study: o1-ioi, o3 and the Limits of the ResultsMatthew Berman, Sam Altman · Forward FutureMatthew Berman interprets OpenAI’s 2025 paper on reinforcement learning and programming contests. The results are strong on the studied benchmarks, but do not establish AGI or remove humans from model development.
21:21ENOpenAI o1’s 2024 Launch: Reasoning Benchmarks and Early TestsMatthew Berman · Forward FutureMatthew Berman reviews o1-preview and o1-mini, OpenAI’s reported evaluations, and his own early coding experiments.
18:39ENAI Scientist, Grok-2 and Agent Q: Matthew Berman’s August 2024 AI News RoundupMatthew Berman · Forward FutureA week of model releases, web agents and AI research raises questions about benchmarks, automation and the gap between prototypes and predictions.
27:37ENLeo Pekelis on Extending Llama 3 to a Million-Token ContextMatthew Berman, Leo Pekelis · Forward FutureGradient’s chief scientist explains long-context training, coding use cases, inference costs and why retrieval benchmarks tell only part of the story.
26:00ENWhy a Zapier founder thinks AGI research has been stalled for four yearsModeration: Sarah Guo, Elad GilMike Knoop and François Chollet put more than a million dollars on beating ARC-AGI, the eval they say actually measures general intelligence.
16:03ENQuantum Supremacy Is a Well-Defined Speedup, Not a Useful TaskGast: Scott Aaronson · Moderation: Lex FridmanScott Aaronson explains what Google's 53-qubit experiment actually demonstrated, how it was verified, and why complexity theory can offer evidence but not proof against classical spoofing.









