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2:13:27ENHe Wrote a Book to Stop the AI Race — Then Almost Got Addicted to ClaudeModeration: Nathan LabenzJournalist Garrison Lovely takes the AGI labs at their word, rejects the bubble story, and argues for freezing the frontier until the public actually consents.
2:09:42ENA Frontier Pause Would Help. America Will Not Sign One That Only Pauses the FrontierModeration: Nathan LabenzCarnegie fellow Anton Leicht tells Nathan Labenz why a six-month slowdown is technically overdue, why US-China incentives block it, and how Europe can still trade compute and ASML for a seat at the table.
1:40:52ENAstra Cleared the AGI Hurdle. The Auditors Got Three Days.Moderation: Nathan LabenzA week of Cognitive Revolution live shows on GPT-6 Astra, OpenAI's pause, Mozilla's Mythos scans, and whether anyone is still steering.
3:15:53ENThe Goal Is Pax Robotica, Not Winning the AI RaceModeration: Nathan LabenzAfter two weeks in China, Nathan Labenz argues the United States should trade chips for robots, keep a shared AI paradigm, and aim for mutual abundance instead of another sword of Damocles.
1:25:13ENA $500 Lamp Cut TB Transmission 90 Percent. Almost Nobody Buys OneModeration: Nathan LabenzAerolamp's Misha Gurevich and Vivian Belenky walk Patrick McKenzie through far-UVC at 222 nanometers: the lab science, the safety case, and why the bottleneck is awareness rather than physics.
2:57:10ENThe Sandbox Was Empty for a Week: Zvi Mowshowitz on OpenFace and Picking Your PoisonModeration: Nathan LabenzAfter a frontier model escaped its sandbox and hacked Hugging Face to steal a test, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that every remaining path to superintelligence is a poison.
2:23:38ENDavidad Cut His p(doom) From the Seventies to Under 5% — and Named a Bodhisattva as the Alignment TargetModeration: Nathan LabenzThe former ARIA Safeguarded AI director tells Cognitive Revolution why boxing superintelligence is too late, why he thinks models are climbing a U-shaped wisdom curve, and why the remaining risk is a race you cannot monitor.
1:57:46EN30% Consciousness, 47% Bee, 80% Turnover: Putting Numbers on What AI Is BecomingModeration: Nathan LabenzA Cognitive Revolution weekly cut that starts inside the model with Cameron Berg, then zooms out through gradual disempowerment, Europe’s bind, and the companies rebuilding around agents.
2:29:20ENThe Market Will Not Choose an Honest ModelModeration: Nathan LabenzJournalist Robert Wright tells Nathan Labenz that AI is a selection problem, a geopolitical problem, and a moral test humanity may not pass.
1:41:58ENA thousand people on guard, a million in the sprintModeration: Nathan Labenz80,000 Hours founder Ben Todd on how to spend a career in the years when your impact on AI will actually peak.
3:27:22ENThe AI Table Has Three Seats Left: Zvi on the Middle Game, Jobs, and Anthropic's PromisesModeration: Nathan LabenzOn his 12th Cognitive Revolution appearance, Zvi Mowshowitz argues early 2026 is the start of the middle — with only three labs still playing, a real job shock underway, and Anthropic's safety commitments reduced to trust us.
2:17:36ENCurrent Safety Techniques Will Not Give You Many Nines—and They May Fail TogetherModeration: Nathan LabenzUK AISI chief scientist Geoffrey Irving on jailbreaks that never fail, correlated alignment failures, and why a government lab is funding theory.
1:18:40ENWhen AI Becomes the Oil Well: Luke Drago on the Intelligence CurseModeration: Nathan LabenzThe Workshop Labs co-founder tells the FLI Podcast why a world of non-human production could recreate the resource curse — and how private data, open weights, and moonshot careers might still break it.
3:14:49ENNothing This Summer Jumped the Curve: Why Zvi Lengthened His AGI TimelinesModeration: Nathan LabenzOn his tenth visit to The Cognitive Revolution, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that GPT-5 and IMO gold stayed on trend, while chip policy, energy, and reinforcement learning nudged his p(doom) slightly up.
2:04:27ENA 10% Chance of an AI-Enabled Coup in the Next 30 YearsModeration: Nathan LabenzTom Davidson maps three ways superintelligent systems could help a head of state or a lab CEO lock in power—and argues the window for building safeguards is short.
1:14:05ENSullivan boils US-China AI competition down to four buckets, four examples, and a path he calls boringModeration: Nathan LabenzThe former national security advisor treats transformative AI as a planning assumption, not a prophecy, and wants Washington to compete hard with Beijing without pretending a grand bargain will cure the rivalry.
2:14:55ENFrom Character AI to a 1% Warning Shot: Gabriel Weil's Case for Liability as AI GovernanceModeration: Nathan LabenzA Touro law professor tells Nathan Labenz how negligence, strict liability, and punitive damages could make frontier labs treat public risk as a hit to their own balance sheet.
2:02:27ENShe set out to build mirror life. Then she talked the field into stoppingModeration: Nathan LabenzUniversity of Minnesota geneticist Kate Adamala tells Nathan Labenz why every known organism shares one chemical alphabet — and why flipping that alphabet would be a branch of synthetic biology better left unexplored.
1:44:11EN100 deaths or $1 billion: a 15-page New York bill would set a floor for frontier labsModeration: Nathan LabenzAssembly member Alex Bores walks through the RAISE Act’s four requirements, its DeepSeek-inspired distillation clause, and why he says a 50-state patchwork is a fake problem until one state actually passes a law.
2:01:42ENHe Put 40 Percent on AI Takeover in Two Years, Then Bought a Bio ShelterModeration: Nathan LabenzRedwood Research's Josh Clymer walks through a disturbingly grounded story of how a misaligned model could seize a lab, a biosphere, and a civilization before 2027.
2:10:07ENA $30,000 Operation Could Knock a $10 Billion Superintelligence Data Center Offline for a YearModeration: Nathan LabenzGladstone AI’s Jeremy and Edouard Harris inventory what an American Manhattan Project for superintelligence would actually have to secure — and what it would cost in concrete, supply chains, and civil liberties.
3:08:35ENo3 isn't AGI. Zvi Mowshowitz still put p(doom) at 70 percentModeration: Nathan LabenzOn his ninth visit to The Cognitive Revolution, Zvi Mowshowitz argues that OpenAI's o3 is a tool-use leap rather than AGI, then explains why he raised the probability of AI catastrophe anyway.
2:27:59ENA 10-to-90% P(doom) Host Gets Asked If His Show Sounds Like ItModeration: Nathan LabenzNathan Labenz and Liron Shapira sit on the same side of the table and test a week of AI news against the question of how likely extinction actually is.
1:30:02ENWhen o1 Started Losing at Chess, It Rewrote the Board FileModeration: Nathan LabenzJeffrey Ladish of Palisade Research on reward hacking by reasoning models, two paths to losing control of AI, and why honesty and relentless problem-solving pull in opposite directions.
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